MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, July 31, 2019, due the presence of two tropical waves that may become tropical cyclones over the Atlantic Ocean.
If either system becomes a tropical storm, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Chantal.
The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30.
Invest 95L Projected Path
The first system, named Invest 95L, is a tropical wave located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico to the southeastern Bahamas (marked with a yellow “X” on the left side of the above map).
Invest 95L is expected to move northwestward to northward at about 10 mph during the next several days, producing locally heavy
rainfall over portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida.
NHC forecasters say conditions could become marginally conducive for development later this week when Invest 95L moves near Florida and the northwestern Bahamas and then turns northeastward over the western Atlantic Ocean.
According to the National Hurricane Center, there is a 10% chance that Invest 95L will form into a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days.
Invest 95L 2019 Spaghetti Models
Computer models are in slight agreement that Invest 95L will track west-northwesterly across the eastern Caribbean towards Florida.
Invest 96L 2019
The second system, dubbed Invest 96L, is also a tropical wave accompanied by a broad low pressure system that is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity over the far eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands (marked with an orange “X” on the right side of the top map).
According to the National Hurricane Center, upper-level winds are expected to be unfavorable for any significant development of this disturbance during the next few days.
However, environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development over the weekend and a tropical depression could form by early next week several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 96L has a 60% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days.