MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. EDT on Saturday, August 24, 2019, which predicts a 90% chance that Invest 98L 2019 will become a tropical cyclone off the east coast of Florida during the next five days.
A broad area of low pressure is located over South Florida (marked with a red “X” near Florida).
NHC forecasters say that a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to form early next week while Invest 98L 2019 moves northeastward over the Atlantic offshore of the southeastern United States coast.
Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Five has formed behind Invest 98L.
Invest 98L is forecast to exit the Florida peninsula near the east coast of Central Florida by Sunday.
The system has a 70% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours and a 90% chance within the next 5 days.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next few days over the northwestern Bahamas, South Florida, and Central Florida.
Interests in the northwestern Bahamas, the Florida peninsula, and the southeast coast of the United States should monitor the progress of this system.
The U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled to investigate the system today was canceled.
Another aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday.
If the system becomes a tropical storm, the next names on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list are Tropical Storm Dorian and Erin.
The reliable European hurricane model (orange line with triangles) forecasts that Invest 98L will exit near West Palm Beach towards the warm Gulf Stream waters.
NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.