NOAA: Hurricane Humberto Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA National Hurricane Center Hurricane Humberto Projected Path

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, September 16, 2019, due to the presence of Hurricane Humberto that is located well off the east coast of Florida.

Hurricane Humberto Projected Path

Hurricane Humberto is located 670 miles west of Bermuda and is moving east-northeast at 7 mph (11 km/h).

This general motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected through early Thursday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of Humberto is expected to approach Bermuda Wednesday night.

Hurricane Humberto Computer Models

Hurricane Humberto Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

The overall track forecast spread between the reliable computer models remains tight.

Spaghetti models are also now in better agreement that Humberto will not slow down as much as previously expected.

The hurricane is forecast to gradually lift out and accelerate to the northeast on days 4 and 5 when Humberto is well to the northeast of Bermuda.

The new official NHC forecast track is in agreement with the consensus models TVCN, NOAA-HCCA, and FSSE.

Hurricane Humberto Category Strength

Hurricane Humberto winds

Hurricane Humberto has maximum sustained winds of 90 mph (150 km/h), with higher gusts.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (45 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.

Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).