NOAA: Hurricane Humberto Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 11p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Sunday, September 15, 2019, due to the presence of Hurricane Humberto (formerly Tropical Depression 9 and Invest 95L) that is tracking off the east coast of Florida.

Hurricane Humberto Projected Path

Hurricane Humberto is located 785 miles west of Bermuda and is moving northeast at 3 mph (6 km/h).

A turn toward the east-northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed over the next 3 days.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of Humberto should continue to move away from the U.S. towards Bermuda.

Hurricane Humberto Computer Models

The overall track forecast spread between the reliable computer models remains tight.

But spaghetti models differ in the forward speed of Humberto after the east-northeastward turn.

The new official NHC forecast track is a little slower than the previous one in 4-5 days, but not as slow as the latest ECMWF and GFS global model runs.

Hurricane Humberto Category Strength

Hurricane Humberto has maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h), with higher gusts.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.

Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).

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