NOAA: Tropical Depression 13 Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Depression 13 Projected Path

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Monday, September 23, 2019, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Thirteen over the Atlantic.

Tropical Depression Thirteen Projected Path

Tropical Depression Thirteen is located 315 miles south-southeast of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands and is moving to the west at 15 mph (24 km/h).

The tropical cyclone is forecast to turn toward the west-northwest tonight and Tuesday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of T.D. 13 should pass well to the south of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight.

Tropical Depression Thirteen Computer Models

Tropical Depression 13 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that Tropical Depression Thirteen will turn toward the west-northwest tonight and then curve to the north out into the open Atlantic.

The official NHC forecast track (red circle) lies between the European model (orange triangle) and GFS model (purple square).

Tropical Depression Thirteen Category Strength

Tropical Depression Thirteen has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h), with higher gusts.

NHC forecasters say that strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and T.D. 13 is expected to become a tropical storm later today and a hurricane by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

If Tropical Depression Thirteen becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Lorenzo and Hurricane Lorenzo.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.