NOAA: Tropical Storm Karen Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Karen 2019 Track

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, September 27, 2019, due to the presence of Tropical Storm Karen far off the coast of Florida.

Tropical Storm Karen is located 350 miles southeast of Bermuda and is moving to the northeast at 8 mph (13 km/h).

Karen is forecast to become nearly stationary by tonight or early Saturday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, Karen is then forecast to move westward by the end of the weekend.

Tropical Storm Karen 2019 Computer Models

Tropical Storm Karen 2019 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in strong agreement that Karen will stall by tonight.

The European (orange triangle) model, UK model (blue square) and GFS model (purple square) forecast that Karen will begin to move to the west this weekend.

The official NHC track forecast (red circle) is in closer agreement with the European model.

Tropical Storm Karen Category Strength

Tropical Storm Karen 2019 Winds

Tropical Storm Karen has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h), with higher gusts.

Tropical Storm Karen is a tropical storm on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone.

NHC forecasters say that Karen is expected to weaken into a remnant low by Saturday.