MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Sunday, September 15, 2019, due to the presence of two systems that may become tropical cyclones in addition to Tropical Storm Humberto.
The first system is an elongated area of disturbed weather located over the central tropical Atlantic (marked with a red “X”).
This disturbance is currently disorganized and only slow development, if any, is anticipated during the next day or two.
However, environmental conditions will become more conducive for the gradual development of this system by the middle of next week.
According to the National Hurricane Center, a tropical depression could form by the end of the week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.
This system has an 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 30% chance within the next 48 hours.
The second system is a large area of cloudiness and showers located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico that is associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough (marked with a yellow “X”).
NHC forecasters say that only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days while it moves westward over the western Gulf of Mexico.
This system is forecast to move inland along the Texas coast by late Monday or Tuesday and development is not expected after that time.
This second system has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next five days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.
If either of these systems becomes a tropical storm, the next name on the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane names list is Tropical Storm Imelda.
NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.