Tropical Depression 17 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Nestor 2019 Projected Path

NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 11 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, October 25, 2019, due to the presence of Tropical Depression 17 (formerly Invest 97L) that is tracking towards Louisiana.

Tropical Depression 17 Projected Path

Tropical Depression 17 is located 320 miles south-southwest of Port Charles, Louisiana and is moving to the north at 16 mph (26 km/h).

A turn toward the north-northeast at a faster forward speed is expected this afternoon through Sunday.

On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of the cyclone should move across the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico this afternoon and then move over the northern Gulf coast tonight or Saturday morning.

Tropical Depression 17 Computer Models

Tropical Storm Olga 2019, Tropical Depression 17 Spaghettie Models, Computer Models

Spaghetti models are in good agreement that the tropical cyclone will make landfall along the Louisiana coast.

The official NHC forecast lies within the middle of the consensus computer models.

Tropical Depression 17 Category Strength

Tropical Storm Olga 2019, Tropical Depression 17 Winds

Tropical Depression 17 has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h), with higher gusts.

Some strengthening is expected today, and T.D. 17 could become a Tropical Storm Olga this afternoon.

The tropical cyclone is then expected to merge with a cold front and become a post-tropical low with gale-force winds tonight before the center reaches the Gulf coast.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Tropical Depression 17 this afternoon.