NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory on Friday, October 18, 2019, due to Tropical Storm Nestor that is forecast to hit Florida.
On the National Hurricane Center forecast track, the center of Tropical Storm Nestor will approach the northern Gulf Coast tonight and then hit the Florida Panhandle around 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday.
Tropical Storm Nestor is located 140 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River and is moving to the northeast at 22 mph (35 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Saturday.
A turn toward the east-northeast is expected to occur Sunday.
Nestor will move inland over the Florida Panhandle on Saturday morning, and will then move across portions of the southeastern United States later Saturday and Sunday while it becomes a post-tropical cyclone.
Nestor is expected to move offshore of the coast of North Carolina into the western Atlantic by late Sunday.
Tropical Storm Nestor has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) mainly to the southwest of the center.
The disturbance is expected to develop into a tropical or subtropical storm later today before hitting Florida.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Navarre, Florida to Yankeetown, Florida.
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach, Florida.
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations.
The GFS model (purple square), European model (orange triangle), UK model (blue square), and official NHC track forecast (red circle) are in strong agreement that the tropical cyclone will make landfall near or between Panama City Beach and Mexico Beach, Florida.