NOAA: Tropical Depression 7 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

Tropical Depression 7 2020 NOAA GOES Satellite Image

MELBOURNE, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at  5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, July 22, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Seven that is tracking towards the Caribbean.

If T.D. 7 strengthens into a tropical storm, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Names list is Gonzalo.

Tropical Depression 7 Projected Path
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Depression 7 2020 Projected Path
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Depression 7 2020 Projected Path

Tropical Depression 7 is located 1285 miles east of the southern Windward Islands and is moving to the west-northwest at 12 mph (19 km/h).

NHC forecasters say that this motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.

Tropical Depression 7 Computer Models

Tropical Depression Seven 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models
Tropical Depression Seven 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that the tropical cyclone will continue on a west-northwesterly track across the Caribbean Sea.

However, there is little agreement between the models on whether Tropical Depression 7 will track more southerly or northerly.

This spread between the models creates a large “cone of uncertainty” that extends from Venezuela to the Dominican Republic.

Tropical Depression 7 Category Strength

Tropical Depression 7 has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h), with higher gusts.

T.D. 7 is forecast to gradually strengthen into Tropical Storm Gonzalo today.