NOAA: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

Tropical Storm Gonzalo 2020 NOAA GOES Satellite Image

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at 5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, July 25, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Storm Gonzalo that is tracking towards the Caribbean.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Projected Path
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Gonzalo 2020 Projected Path
NOAA National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Gonzalo 2020 Projected Path

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is located 180 miles east of the Trinidad and is moving to the west at 18 mph (30 km/h).

NHC forecasters say that a general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected for the next couple of days.

On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands this afternoon or evening and then over the eastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Computer Models
Tropical Storm Gonzalo 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models
Tropical Storm Gonzalo 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that the tropical cyclone will continue on a west-northwesterly track across the Caribbean Sea.

The NHC track forecast is once again nudged a bit toward the south and aligns with the NOAA HFIP HCCA consensus model.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Category Strength

Tropical Storm Gonzalo has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h), with higher gusts.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center of the cyclone.

Little change in strength is expected before Gonzalo reaches the southern Windward Islands later today. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves over the southeastern Caribbean Sea, and the system is forecast to dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.

NOAA forecasts an ‘above-normal’ 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.