NOAA: 3 New Tropical Cyclones May Form

National Hurricane Center Tropical Outlook August 29, 2020

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, August 29, 2020, due to the presence of three systems that may form into tropical cyclones after Hurricane Laura within the next 5 days.

The first system is a westward-moving tropical wave located over the eastern tropical Atlantic just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands that continues to produce disorganized shower activity (marked with an orange “X”).

NHC forecasters say that this system is expected to move very slowly for the next several days, and some development is possible early next week over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic.

This system has a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a near 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

The second system is a tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Windward Islands that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms (marked with a yellow “X” on bottom).

NHC forecasters say that gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days as it moves westward at 15 mph toward the Lesser Antilles.

This system has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 20% chance within the next 48 hours.

Regardless of development, this system will likely produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands on Sunday.

The third system is a low-pressure area that is expected to form off of the southeastern coast of the United States early next week (marked with a yellow “X” on top).

NHC forecasters say that additional subsequent development is possible as the system moves east-northeastward across the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

This system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

If these systems become tropical storms or hurricanes, the next names on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Names List are Nana, Omar, and Paulette.

NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency.

Although the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t occur until September 10, tropical cyclone activity significantly increases during the first week of September, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical hurricane activity data.

Prevailing hurricane tracks in September
Prevailing hurricane tracks in September

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.