Invest 95L Spaghetti Models, Track Off Florida

NOAA National Hurricane Center Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook October 24, 2020

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, October 24, 2020, due to the presence of Invest 95L 2020 that will likely form into a tropical cyclone off the coast of Florida.

Invest 95L is a broad area of low pressure located just southwest of Grand Cayman Island (marked with a red “X”).

Invest 95L is becoming better organized, with a better-defined wind circulation, increasing thunderstorm activity, and falling surface pressures since yesterday.

If Invest 95L becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Zeta.

Invest 95L 2020 Projected Path

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the low drifts toward the north and northwest.

The system could move near western Cuba on Monday and move slowly across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday.

Interests in western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this disturbance.

A NOAA Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.

Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be possible over portions of the Cayman Islands, Jamaica, and Cuba through early next week.

Invest 95L has a 90% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 90% chance within the next 48 hours.

Invest 95L 2020 Computer Models

Invest 95L 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models
Invest 95L 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models
Invest 95L 2020 Computer Models, Spaghetti Models

Computer models vary widely as to which track Invest 95L will take in the Gulf of Mexico.

NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency.

Although September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.

October Hurricanes Atlantic Hurricane Season Historical

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.