National Hurricane Center: 2 Tropical Cyclones May Form Over Caribbean

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, October 2, 2020, that indicates another system that may form into a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days over the northwestern Caribbean in addition to Tropical Depression 25.

The second system is a tropical wave that is moving across the eastern Caribbean Sea and producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by local rainfall and gusty winds (marked with a yellow “X”).

NHC forecasters say that this wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days, and environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the system is over the central or western Caribbean Sea early next week.

This system has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a near 0% chance within the next 48 hours.

If either of these systems become a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Gamma.

NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency.

September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclone activity significantly increases. But hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through the first half of October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.

October Hurricanes Atlantic Hurricane Season Historical

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.