National Hurricane Center: 20% Chance Tropical Cyclone Forms Over Atlantic

NOAA National Hurricane Center Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook October 10, 2020

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 8 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, October 10, 2020, due to the presence of a system that may form into a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days over the Atlantic Ocean.

A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms (marked with a yellow “X”).

The wave is expected to move generally westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development of the system this weekend or early next week while it is located over the tropical Atlantic, well east of the Lesser Antilles.

By the middle of next week, upper-level winds are forecast to increase and become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.

This system has a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

If this system becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Epsilon.

NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency.

September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclone activity significantly increases. But hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through the first half of October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.

October Hurricanes Atlantic Hurricane Season Historical

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.