NOAA: 3 Tropical Cyclones May Form This Week

NOAA National Hurricane Center Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook October 3, 2020

MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, October 3, 2020, that indicates two other systems that may form into tropical cyclones within the next 5 days in addition to Tropical Storm Gamma.

The first system is a tropical wave that is producing widespread cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, with locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds affecting portions of the ABC Islands, the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico (marked with an orange “X”).

NHC forecasters say that environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph across the central and western Caribbean Sea.

This system has a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

The second system is a tropical wave located about midway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles (marked with a yellow “X”).

NHC forecasters say that some slow development of this system may occur during the next several days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward.

This system has a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours.

If either of these systems become a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Delta.

NOAA historical hurricane data. Peak season and storm frequency.

September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season where tropical cyclone activity significantly increases. But hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through the first half of October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.

October Hurricanes Atlantic Hurricane Season Historical

NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.