MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. on Wednesday, July 5, 2017, due the presence of a low pressure system that could become Tropical Storm Don and impact the U.S. east coast.
The system, named Invest 94L, is located about 850 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and is currently moving westward and/or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic.
The National Hurricane Center forecasts that environmental conditions are favorable for Invest 94L to form into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Don within the next 24 to 48 hours.
Invest 94L has a 60% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone by Friday.
Invest 94L Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models are in general agreement that the Invest 94L projected path will move in a west-northwesterly and pass well north of Puerto Rico, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic.
However, the computer models begin to diverge greatly after five days and there is little agreement where the system will head as it nears The Bahamas and Florida.
Most intensity models keep Don at tropical storm strength through the week.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center forecasts that the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through November 30, will have above-normal activity.