NOAA: Tropical Depression 7 Projected Path, Spaghetti Models

MELBOURNE, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory at  5 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Wednesday, July 22, 2020, due to the presence of Tropical Depression Seven that is tracking towards the Caribbean.

If T.D. 7 strengthens into a tropical storm, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Names list is Gonzalo.

Tropical Depression 7 Projected Path

Tropical Depression 7 is located 1285 miles east of the southern Windward Islands and is moving to the west-northwest at 12 mph (19 km/h).

NHC forecasters say that this motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next few days.

Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.

Tropical Depression 7 Computer Models

Spaghetti models are in general agreement that the tropical cyclone will continue on a west-northwesterly track across the Caribbean Sea.

However, there is little agreement between the models on whether Tropical Depression 7 will track more southerly or northerly.

This spread between the models creates a large “cone of uncertainty” that extends from Venezuela to the Dominican Republic.

Tropical Depression 7 Category Strength

Tropical Depression 7 has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h), with higher gusts.

T.D. 7 is forecast to gradually strengthen into Tropical Storm Gonzalo today.