MIAMI, Florida – NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida issued a Tropical Weather Outlook at 2 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Saturday, October 31, 2020, due to the presence of Invest 96L 2020 that will likely form into a tropical cyclone.
Invest 96L is a large area of disturbed weather associated with a vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea (marked with a red “X”).
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with Invest 96L continues to gradually become better organized, and a tropical depression appears to be forming.
If Invest 96L becomes a tropical storm or hurricane, the next name on the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Greek Alphabet Names List is Eta.
NHC forecasters say that if this recent development trend continues, then advisories will likely be initiated on this disturbance this afternoon or evening while the system moves generally westward at about 15 mph toward the western Caribbean Sea.
Interests in Jamaica, Honduras, and Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rainfall across portions of Jamaica and southern Hispaniola through the weekend.
Invest 96L has a 100% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days and a 100% chance within the next 48 hours.
Computer models are in general agreement that Invest 96L will track westward over the Caribbean towards Central America.
Although September 10 was the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, hurricane season still remains at an increased level of activity through October, according to NOAA and the National Weather Service’s historical data.
NOAA and Colorado State University forecast an “extremely active” 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 through November 30.